Kenya at the risk of Ethnic Violence and Militant Attacks, 2015 Predictive Analysis Report

Predictive analysis experts and global intelligence firms predict Kenya will see ethnic violence and experience more terror attacks throughout the year 2015.

Kenya security challenges are being factored by elections and terrorism in Somalia besides the South Sudan civil war effects on the region.

Elections and Islamist terrorism are cited as main factors of insecurity in the regional particularly Kenya due to its proximity to Somalia and Southern Sudan.

Guns from the South Sudan civil war will find their way to the Turkana and Pokots who often involve in ethnic motivated cattle rustling.

This could spiral though early intervention could help stymie the predicted violence, suggests David Goldman of Strategic Intelligence Service.

If politics such as referendums pushes gain desired socio-political impetus, the country may be affected ethnically.

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