Kenya is likely to face a ethnic torpedo if Prime Minister Odinga does not reverse his anti-regime backers onslaught.
With a lobby heralded by former Kenya Human Rights Commission executive Omar Hassan seeking the exit of 100 MP’s from their parliamentary offices, the high stakes game might crumble on Odinga besides sink the country to ethnic violence.
Intelligence analyzed and produced by Strategic Intelligence shows the political direction taken by most of Odinga followers heads to a war path and rough.
Two scenarios are playing out fast and each elicits ethnic emotions which are dangerous to Kenya’s socio-economic progress.
Odinga’s purge to have 100 members of parliament seek re-election could dig out the shallow grave of 2007-2008 election violence with new alliances turning against Odinga’s own community.
100 by-elections with most of them in the same areas where violence manifested is dangerous and risky to undertake.
Odinga’s advisers and friends intents are a threat to national security for they represent a minority objective hence likely to procure a majority reaction with a negative intent in retaliation.
The other scenario playing out is the motion of no confidence in Odinga as a premier. His numbers in parliament cannot push a motion through let alone stop a censure motion against him.
In parliament Odinga has no stake and only manages a day by the moment signaling an end to his influential era in parliament.
Odinga faces immense turbulence in the coming political days with his ouster as premier very likely besides his South Rift and Luo-Luhya Support becoming a hot bed for violence if political undertones are not managed.
