Al-Shabaab poses a new and more challenging threat to Kenya’s national security, intelligence sources report citing oil and gas finds as factors that present this threat.
Strategic Intelligence warns of increased presence of Somali militants in the country in the upper North Eastern region of the country.
There is also an increase in businesses and real estate investments owned by proxies who file profits that are used to keep the militants kitty bigger and better to sustain militancy and terror.
The oil and gas finds in Kenya pose a threat to Middle East oil sellers who see drop in their sales as the Kenyan market shrink besides losing the entire Kenyan market altogether.
To keep this market, these oil sellers based in Middle East are financing the establishment of militant cells in the North Eastern region which is the hot-bed of both oil exploration and production activities scheduled to start in 2 years.
To stop this from materializing the establishment of militant zones that are expected to fuel conflict and destabilization in that particular region will facilitate the delayment of oil production and the infrastructure development that is likely to speed up reduction of prices of the lucrative petroleum industry.
Director of regional intelligence at Strategic Intelligence, David James points out countries that Kenya often buys crude petroleum from as where this threat is coming from.
“We are likely to see increase in crime in the North Eastern area, terrorism, heavily armed and highly trained clan based militia, inter-clan fighting, and resistance to the rule of the law in this particular region, all objectived to stymie the process of oil production, exploration and the LAPSET project.” Say’s David James.
“This is already manifesting in places like Garissa and Mandera. If the cattle rustlers of the North Rift get rattled by superior and well trained pasture seeking nomads the region will explode in violence and this will create the desired environment to delay oil production and the LAPSET project thus injecting new life to the oil and gas importers.” Adds David James