SECURITY ANALYSIS/ASSESSMENT
Police caution on terrorist attacks during festive season and released some 11 terrorist’s images on the police most wanted watch list.
The latest intelligence has pointed out that, a large part of Jaysh Ayman parted Al Shabaab to ISIL camp and have been linked to Wednesday’s attack on a pharmaceutical vehicle.
The pro-ISIL cell is planning to conduct a major attack on a government installation in order to prove their worthiness and strength to the parent jihadist group.
Some of the Jaysh Ayman fighters are not comfortable with the move of abandoning the Al Shabaab and are attempting to reverse this move to remain in Al Shabaab and with parent terrorists group the Al Qaeda.
An interview conducted by MYC Press Office on Amir Sheikh Ahmad Iman Ali, one of the most wanted terrorist figures and believed to be a leader of the Kenyan terrorist’s cell at the coastal region, indicates that the terror group is preparing for an attack.
The militants are likely to employ suicide bombs where they will also die in the explosion or conduct an attack similar to the Baure Military camp where possibility of escaping is slim.
Al-Hijra an affiliate of Al Shabaab dedicated to wage attacks in East Africa region and especially Kenya, through twitter posts on their social affiliated handles certainly reveals plans by Iman Ali of conducting a suicide attack.
In the recent SVBIED attacks, the militants have been targeting against AMISOM officers as well as other mid-level military commanders.
In another recent incident, UN vehicle number plates were stolen and haven’t been recovered.
The number plates 45 UN 177 R and 45 UN 130 K, all front believed to have been stolen by the militant outfit and maybe part of their broader strategy to commit attacks using fake envoy vehicles.
Police also released the number plates of a police vehicle with registration number GKB 595J, a Ford Ranger as missing.
Police and army personnel are high value targets for these mad criminals as well as police posts and army bases.
On using SVBIED strategy, the militants may paint a Landcruiser or Land Rovers in military camouflage or police vehicles colours and then be used in attacks.
Vehicles painting nowadays are Hi-tech and desired results to match the desired results are quickly achieved.
Intelligence also warns that the criminal outfit may be having one of our own (insider and sympathizer) as an accomplice.
This narrative maybe linked to what happened in the Kismayu SNA training camp, where an attack happened and reports revealed that there was an insider leaking information and thus aided the attack.
During the festive season people like to do shopping and the militant may take advantage of increased demand for AFCO shopping to gain entry in army bases.
Army bases countywide urged to restrict entry to barracks.
The militants may also use forged fake IDs to help them gain access to the bases and thus thorough screening is a must.
Kenya’s security agents urge members of public to provide information/intelligence on whereabouts of the published terror figures. In case of a suspicious activity or individuals, citizen encouraged to report immediately to nearest security agents.
