The Harakat Shabaab al-Mujahideen Movement, Al-Qaeda’s branch in Somalia is desperately seeking the parents input to stymie a steady decline, intelligence shows.
The Al Shabaab is on a steady decline. The parameters include checking on number of fighters killed against new recruitment.
There are fewer fighters in their ranks as observed in current attack cycles. We are citing the “small unit leadership” strategy in their attacks, wherein they are dispatching between 4 and six terrorists to conduct attacks.
This is indicative of fewer elements focused on the jihadists movement. In the attacks pattern, the success levels have diminished as security agencies adapt and robustly respond to threats/attacks.
Al Shabaab in recent past using trusted messengers increased contact with AQAP leadership.
AQAP is Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula an outfit largely active in Yemen.
The proximity between Yemen and Somalia may provide AQAP operatives entry to Somalia with objectives of strengthening the terror group’s capability to conduct attacks across the borders.
Harakat Shabaab al-Mujahideen Movement claimed they relied so much on (AQAP) leader Abu Baseer Nasser al-Wuhayshi who was killed in an airstrike.