Beleaguered Al-Shabaab Terrorists Acquiesce Intransigent Failure and Defeat in Kenya

EVENTS SUMMARY

• 26th August 2015, A Joint task force of Kenya security forces recovered deadly ammo, explosives, assault riffles, and devices used to assemble and detonate improvised explosive devices from a would be suicide bomber belonging to the Salafist jihadists group based in Somalia, the Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen.
• Saturday 22nd August 2015, 2 Terrorists cell-operators under instructions from Al-Shabaab senior operations commander in Juba, Mohamed Kuno Gamadheere, were arrested and a cache of arms and highly destructive explosives including hand grenades were recovered in Garissa, the headquarters of the frontier county of Garissa, N-Eastern Kenya.
• Sunday 14th June 2015, Kenya Army (KDF) killed 26 militants including 3 foreigners belonging to the Al-Shabaab terror group in Lamu. The terror group had tried to attack a military base in Baure, Lamu county, in coastal Kenya.

ASSESSMENT 

The Salafist Al-Qaeda affiliated terror group Harakat Al-Shabaab Al Mujahideen existence is both elliptical and hunkered on intransigent political-religious cause.

The failure to identify with a coherent and consistent political agenda that can culminate into an armistice, the Shebaab cause is ambiguous and hunkered in the psychotic and self-defeatist global Salafist ideology.

This has bolstered Kenya’s maneuvers against the rag-tag militia based in Somalia. In its strategy, Nairobi has versed with the elliptical cycle of salafists violent extremism strategy. As such, the counter-terrorism battlefield is clearly defined. Actors continue to infiltrate, intercept, and destroy operational terrorists networks and cells in Kenya and the East African region leaving the operators ad couriers shocked and awed.

Kenya’s National Intelligence’s critical terror threats detection systems are robust and inventive intelligence gathering networks that ambidextrously identifies and infiltrates terror cells and their deep networks besides orchestrates events that destroy Harakat Al-Shabaab Al Mujahideen terror movement substructures in Kenya.

FORECAST

The Al-Qaeda branch in Somalia, Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen terror movement consistent cycle of failure and defeats in Kenya draws out the picture of both the short-term and long-term outlook of the situation in Kenya.

The National Intelligence Service will remain inventive and intransigent its resolve to stymie terrorism in Kenya, as such, the current outlook is less likely to change.

The Shebaab cells will continue to be intercepted and destroyed while the skill-set in the vast counter terrorism police and intelligence services in Kenya will advance.

The Shebaab contemplation of conducting a spectacular attack against either the army besides other security agencies and soft targets remain ambiguous bigotry and wont succeed in Kenya.