Strategic Intelligence News

Kenya’s security intelligence service, the National Security Intelligence Service, NSIS, has poked holes in Ethiopia’s ethno-political stability after the demise of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi.

Intelligence gathered by Strategic Intelligence Service confirms Kenya’s worry about the stability of its neighbor and strong ally in regional military and economic issues.

Ethiopia is a strategic partner and president Kibaki has managed to strengthen his regional political-economic agenda through Addis-Ababa, hence the loss of Meles Zenawi marks a new beginning in regional geopolitics.

Ethiopia has been the vital strategic partner in regional geopolitics for Kenya, sharing intelligence, planning and creating the regional growth and integration strategy, besides plotting the regional peace plan.

Ethiopia has warring clans, some of which have believed the Zenawi government was dictatorial and oppressive besides out to punish them.

Politically, Zenawi was the symbol of power and the thin line between ethnic problems and socio-economic growth witnessed under Zenawi.

Kenya is worried this thin line will be easily broken and the relatively stable country could be plunged into political and ethnic problems.

Eritrea’s vested and negative interests in Ethiopia could play a central role in destabilizing the country while Somali militants Al-Shabaab could also infiltrate the largely Christian nation to abet militancy.

The Somali government also is worried that a weak Ethiopia is a big setback to the Somali people and their government, besides a loss to AMISOM.

Ethiopia has played key roles in Somalia particularly in cracking down on the militancy, an effort remembered through the ouster of the Islamic Courts Union who ruled Somalia with ruthlessness.